DEFENCE Team Tempest

Tempest fugit

Two years on from its official public reveal, TIM ROBINSON FRAeS looks at progress on the UK-led Tempest future combat aircraft programme – a project aimed at nothing less than disrupting traditional ways of designing and developing a next-generation fighter – with collaboration and export potential at its heart.

BAE Systems

Two years ago a stealthy grey shape in the form of a mock-up of the Future Combat Air System Technology Initiative (FCAS TI) Tempest broke cover at Farnborough Air Show – drawing gasps of surprise and generating headlines around the world. Conceived as part of the UK’s Combat Air strategy, Tempest is aiming to produce a stealth fighter that will enter service in 2035 and eventually replace the Eurofighter Typhoon in RAF service – as an affordable, flexible/upgradable and exportable military platform. Though the term ‘sixth generation’ combat aircraft is somewhat nebulous, Tempest will incorporate next-generation advanced technologies, such as an augmented reality cockpit, modular payload bay, hypersonics and directed energy weapons. But it also is aiming to rewrite the iron laws of increasing cost and schedule slippage in military procurement – by halving the development time. Tempest also stands for new models of collaboration and partnerships, both nationally and internationally, that are upending traditional ideas of technology transfer and acquisition.

The Team Tempest consortium, consisting of BAE Systems, Leonardo UK, Rolls-Royce, MBDA and the MoD in the form of the RAF’s Rapid Capabilities Office, has already been joined by international partners in the shape of Italy and Sweden. Some 1,800 people are now working on the programme and this is set to expand to 2,500 in the next year. It is also worth noting that, as well as the main partners in the Tempest consortium, the whole enterprise now involves around 300 companies, which, as well as traditional aerospace suppliers, also include video gaming firms (Epic Games) and F1 motorsport spinoffs (Williams Advanced Engineering).

The Tempest outline business case (equivalent to the traditional MoD ‘Main Gate’ approval) is due to be submitted by the end of the year, with a full business case due by 2025. Ten years later, IOC (initial operating capability) is scheduled, making for a very aggressive timescale. (In comparison, the X-35 first flew in 2000, 20 years before the RAF’s 617Sqn declared the F-35B operational for UK Carrier Strike this year.) The next key milestone will be April 2021 with the launch of the Concept and Assessment phase.

Progress so far

With the project in such an early state of conceptual design, coupled with the highly classified nature of much of the technology that is set to be incorporated into Tempest, much of the R&D has been going on quietly under the surface, with somewhere around 60 technology demonstrations currently underway.

A LAB DEMONSTRATION OF A RADAR WARNING RECEIVER TECHNOLOGY FOR TEMPEST HAD SEEN RECEIVERS FOUR TIMES AS ACCURATE AS EXISTING SENSORS, IN A PACKAGE 1/10TH THE SIZE.

Speaking to an RAeS Corporate Partners’ briefing on 8 July, Michael Christie, Director of Future Combat Air Systems, BAE Systems, gave an overview of why Tempest is already proving a ‘catalyst for transformation’. Christie was coy about specific progress on technologies achieved in the past two years but revealed that news would soon be trickling out of the various R&D strands already underway.

However, some measure of progress and the state of technology going into Tempest can be gleaned from an announcement in December from Leonardo that a lab demonstration of a radar warning receiver technology for Tempest had seen receivers four times as accurate as existing sensors, in a package 1/10th the size. If one thinks of the (highly classified) ESM capabilities of the F-35 already in service to geolocate threat radars and electronic emissions, then this would appear to be a game-changing leap forward.

Leonardo is also the prime contractor for a Boeing 757, to be converted by 2Excel, which will serve as a flying avionics, sensors and systems testbed for the Tempest programme and which is expected to be flying in the mid-2020s.

Meanwhile, in January 2020, another Tempest industrial partner, Rolls-Royce, revealed it was developing another key technology for the programme, in the form of the Embedded Electrical Starter Generator (EESG). This replaces the bulky and heavy external gearbox and generator used to generate electrical power into an embedded system – allowing the engine to be slimmer – a significant advantage when designing a low-observable platform.

There has also been progress on Tempest’s open system architecture PYRAMID which will also link other parts of the future Combat Air ecosystem, (such as drones) together. Speaking to AEROSPACE, Richard Berthon, Director, Combat

Air Acquisition, UK MoD, revealed that the reference architecture for PYRAMID has now been delivered and shared with Team Tempest. These ‘Exploiters Packs’ are perhaps best thought of as software API (application programming interface) or SDK (software development kits) that firms such as Apple will send out to app developers when a new OS (operating system) is about to be released or updated. These then allow developers to create apps with the correct ‘hooks’ to interface with the OS. For Tempest – with the goal of having an open, yet secure system architecture in the form of PYRAMID – this will be critical in allowing customers to modify or customise the ‘apps’ that the aircraft will use and ‘plug in and play’ new weapons, sensors and capabilities quickly and cost-effectively in the future.

Concurrent design and testing

The key to meeting its ambitious schedule, says BAE’s Christie, will be model-based systems engineering (MBSE) – testing and validating in synthetic environments. Though simulation is not new, increased computing power, better engineering models and higher fidelity means that MBSE offers industry a way to concurrently design and test at the same time, without waiting for the traditional design-test-validate-redesign-test loop of previous programmes. Indeed, one of the Tempest partners, Saab, has already got experience in MBSE in the form of its involvement with the Boeing T-7A Red Tail advanced trainer, as well as its own Gripen E.

Building a ‘digital twin’ of Tempest then will allow a synthetic model of the system to keep pace with the physical airframe from cradle to the grave – allowing engineers to quickly modify, upgrade and record changes. Says Berthon: “Digital design just gives us an entirely different dynamic and allows us possibly to get a much greater degree of maturity in our design, much earlier on, using digital twins”. However, Christie admits that one challenge of model-based design will be virtual or synthetic certification.

BAE Systems

The effect of Coronavirus

Ironically the global pandemic that has killed so many people in the UK and around the world and also caused the biggest ever downturn in civil aviation has had some unexpected benefits for the Tempest programme – forcing a new, more agile way of working. Berthon notes that, instead of traditional infrequent face-to-face meetings with programme partners, virtual meetings, teleconferencing and phone calls have been happening much more frequently – increasing collaboration, flattening the structure and making for a more lean and agile organisation. “Where we might have travelled every four months and held big set pieces, in an hour, they’re on my speed dial.” Even when restrictions are fully lifted, this virtual collaboration process will remain in place, adding to the momentum of the project. “Although it’s not ideal not to have relationships face-to-face, I think we’ve probably got closer relationships because of this, than we might have done otherwise” he adds.

One programme, multiple sites

Tempest is also designed to correct the shortcomings of both Eurofighter and F-35 international collaborations. Eurofighter has only fairly recently evolved into its true multirole potential, having been held back by a cumbersome management structure that proceeded at the pace of the slowest partner. Industrial workshare, meanwhile, was allocated on specific percentages, which sometimes made little sense. In contrast – the F-35 programme went to the other extreme. A strong leadership from the US, a ‘best athlete’ approach to suppliers but a ‘my way or the highway’ approach meant for little flexibility or IP for its partners. Tempest is attempting to carve a middle path with ‘one programme, multiple sites’ and a flexible, agile organisation that will allow partners to derive maximum benefit in technology gains and a military capability, or even ‘opt out’ of parts that they do not wish to be involved with. Berthon, meanwhile, notes that the different phases of the Tempest programme (R&D, manufacturing, acquisition and support) across the aircraft’s lifetime could attract different levels of involvement from partners. While this makes reporting and understanding the programme perhaps more complicated than other defence projects (the F-35 has a clear pecking partner order of ‘Tiers’), it does promise more opportunities for nations and partners to become involved in different stages of Tempest along the way. Berthon says that, outside of Italy and Sweden, there are at least a ‘half-dozen’ potential partners who could be involved at some level with Tempest development going forward. In practice, then this flexibility being a key driver in the programme, means there is unlikely to be a common Tempest configuration across all customers.

The opportunity to work on a sixth-generation fighter is proving irresistible to the diverse young talent of ‘Generation Tempest’. BAE Systems

Meet ‘Generation Tempest’

Arguably, despite budget concerns, the importance of Tempest perhaps has only increased in the past couple of years. For one thing, the international situation has, if anything, only got even more volatile and unpredictable. China’s crackdown in Hong Kong has proved a wake-up call to the West and its partners, while the prospect of four more years of President Trump has caused America’s allies to privately question whether the US can still be relied on as a stable and trusted partner.

Commercial aerospace, meanwhile, has been battered by Covid-19 and thus, in terms of new programmes, Tempest is a beacon of hope and opportunity for those embarking or thinking of embarking on a career in aerospace. Indeed, it is the first major combat aircraft programme to be launched in the UK in 30 years – making it an irresistible project for those seeking to work on a high-technology aerospace project. Berthon agrees, saying: “It is attracting absolutely the very very best into the workforce. I think across industry and government, it’s proving a very inspiring programme to work on. I went up to Warton at the early part of the year and talked to a group of reasonably recent graduates and young engineers, some of whom had literally been inspired by seeing what we had done at Farnborough and had wanted to be involved as a result.”

Interestingly, while Tempest is attracting a younger, cooler and more diverse set of applicants into aerospace, Berthon also notes the programme is facilitating a surge in mentoring with skills and experience being passed on from the older generation with experience on Tornado, Hawk and Typhoon to the younger ‘Generation Tempest’.

A disruptive programme?

Tempest also comes at a time where the UK is set to undergo a new defence and security review – with emerging technologies such as cyber and drones hotly tipped to be the winners. Yet, while Tempest can be considered a ‘big-ticket’ procurement item, its fast pace, agile organisation goals and inspirational potential make it more akin to a SpaceX disruptive project than traditional combat aircraft procurement. The UK Government has already shown with the OneWeb investment, it is now prepared to act quickly and take risks in technology. Could Tempest also be seen in this light? Berthon thinks so: “Tempest will break out of traditional moulds, we are open to doing things differently, we understand the need to do things differently.”

Additionally, the UK Government’s, ‘Prosperity Agenda’ – which seeks to turbocharge UK exports and offset any losses from Brexit, is now even more critical, thanks to the downturn from Covid-19 hitting the economy as a whole. Says Berthon: “Of course, Tempest is in an R&D phase. But, once we actually begin that acquisition programme, there will be very significant broadening of the industrial base and the workforce that’s required in support of it which is particularly important at a time when the civil side of aerospace is having such a hard time.”

BAE’s Christie also highlights how Tempest has been designed from the outset to be export-led – with ‘time to market’ a major driver. This contrasts with Eurofighter, where export sales beyond the initial buy for partners was seen as an afterthought and where the priorities of core nations were put before accelerating capabilities to increase wider export potential.

Tempest is thus much more now than a new combat aircraft but a defence project that arguably the hopes of the entire UK aerospace industry and government are riding on. Succeed and its benefits will help unlock further opportunities and long-term growth for UK plc. Fail and it is likely that the UK will exit the military aircraft industry altogether.

Summary

In short then, Tempest is as much a revolution in leadership, culture and organisational structures, design and manufacturing, than it is about the stealth, laser weapons or augmented reality cockpit that will be incorporated into the airframe itself. Its ambitious goal is to break the cost/time curve of military aircraft development while offering partners flexible opportunities and varying levels of commitment and buy-in to suit their needs. Professor Keith Hayward observes: “BAeS does have some form here in delivering new concepts; a world-class manufacturing asset at Salmesbury and a track record of innovative ‘fast prototyping’ its uninhabited technology demonstrators”.

Berthon sums up the importance of Tempest to the UK: “Tempest is a once-in-a-generation opportunity. The Combat Air sector, is critical to delivering our national security but also to supporting a strong, prosperous, influential and global Britain.”

The Route to Air Power 2040, RAeS Conference – 6-7 October 2020, RAeS HQ, London